Toledo vs Central Michigan 11/18/2011

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Toledo is a heavy favorite winning 80% of simulations over Central Michigan. Terrance Owens is averaging 254 passing yards and 2.38 TDs per simulation and Adonis Thomas is projected for 135 rushing yards and a 82% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 20% of simulations where Central Michigan wins, Ryan Radcliff averages 3.06 TD passes vs 0.77 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.56 TDs to 1.07 interceptions. Anthony Garland averages 42 rushing yards and 0.28 rushing TDs when Central Michigan wins and 36 yards and 0.18 TDs in losses. Toledo has a 52% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 89% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is CMICH +14

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